Starting a business is always a gamble, and certain ventures are more likely to fail in specific environments due to cultural, economic, or market-specific reasons.
In Kenya, several factors such as market saturation, low demand, and high competition make some business ideas less favorable.
Here’s a detailed exploration of the worst businesses to start in Kenya, including reasons why they may not thrive.
Traditional Cyber Café
Why It’s a Bad Idea:
Declining Demand
With increased smartphone penetration and affordable mobile data, fewer people visit cyber cafés for internet access.
Competition from Personal Devices
Most individuals now use their phones or laptops for tasks such as browsing, emailing, and document editing.
High Overhead Costs
Maintaining computers, paying for high-speed internet, and renting premises can be expensive, making profitability difficult.
Better Alternative:
Consider offering niche services like graphic design, professional printing, or co-working spaces.
DVD/CD Selling Business
Why It’s a Bad Idea
Digital Revolution
Streaming platforms like Netflix, YouTube, and Spotify have made physical media nearly obsolete.
Piracy and Free Alternatives
Digital piracy and free downloads have further reduced the market for DVDs and CDs.
Limited Growth
The small customer base and declining market make it hard to scale.
Better Alternative
Focus on digital content creation or selling licensed digital subscriptions.
Generic Grocery Shop
Why It’s a Bad Idea
Market Saturation
Every neighborhood in Kenya already has numerous small kiosks and grocery shops offering the same products.
Low Margins
With high competition, grocery shops often operate on razor-thin profit margins.
Competition from Supermarkets
Large retail stores like Naivas, Carrefour, and Quickmart attract customers with lower prices and wider variety.
Better Alternative
Specialize in organic or premium food products that cater to a niche market, such as health-conscious consumers.
General Fashion Retail
Why It’s a Bad Idea
Competition from Mitumba (Second-Hand Clothing)
Mitumba markets dominate the Kenyan fashion industry due to affordability.
Online Competition
Platforms like Jumia and Instagram vendors offer convenience and variety.
Seasonal Demand
Consumer spending on fashion fluctuates and may not sustain consistent profitability.
Better Alternative
Focus on a specific niche like baby clothing, African wear, or customized designs.
Internet Service Reselling
Why It’s a Bad Idea
Dominance of ISPs
Established players like Safaricom, Zuku, and Faiba already control the market with competitive pricing and better infrastructure.
High Startup Costs
Setting up reliable internet service equipment and acquiring licenses can be expensive.
Technical Challenges
Maintaining the quality of service in a highly competitive market is difficult.
Better Alternative
Offer IT consultancy or focus on selling smart home solutions that include internet-connected devices.
Copycat Business
Why It’s a Bad Idea
Lack of Differentiation
Opening a business that mimics successful ventures without offering unique value often leads to failure.
Price Wars
Competing solely on price with established businesses can erode profits.
Consumer Loyalty
Customers are likely to stick with known brands unless you offer something significantly better.
Better Alternative
Research under-served markets or innovate within an existing market to create a unique offering.
High-End Luxury Restaurant
Why It’s a Bad Idea
Narrow Target Audience
Most Kenyans prioritize affordability and convenience over luxury when dining out.
High Overhead Costs
Renting prime locations, hiring top chefs, and maintaining high-end aesthetics require substantial capital and ongoing expenses.
Economic Sensitivity
Luxury dining is one of the first sectors to be affected during economic downturns.
Better Alternative
Consider opening a mid-range eatery or investing in a food truck to cater to cost-conscious customers.
Small Scale Farming Without Market Research
Why It’s a Bad Idea
Price Fluctuations
Farming products like tomatoes, onions, or cabbages often experience oversupply, leading to price crashes.
Post-Harvest Losses
Without proper storage and logistics, significant produce is wasted.
Lack of Market Access
Many small-scale farmers struggle to connect with buyers beyond their local markets.
Better Alternative
Focus on value-added agriculture, such as processing fruits into juices or drying vegetables for export.
Betting Shop
Why It’s a Bad Idea:
Regulatory Crackdowns
The Kenyan government has increased taxation and regulatory scrutiny on betting businesses.
Public Backlash
There’s growing awareness of the negative social impact of gambling, reducing customer appeal.
Dominance of Online Platforms
Major platforms like SportPesa dominate the market, making it hard for physical shops to compete.
Better Alternative:
Invest in ethical entertainment ventures like eSports cafes or gaming zones.
Solar Panel Sales Without Installation Service
Why It’s a Bad Idea
Limited Value Addition
Selling solar panels alone doesn’t address the market’s need for reliable installation and maintenance.
High Competition
Many businesses offer bundled services, making standalone sales less appealing.
Technical Barriers
Customers often lack the expertise to install solar panels themselves.
Better Alternative
Provide end-to-end solar solutions, including installation, maintenance, and financing options.
Red Flags for Potentially Unprofitable Businesses in Kenya
Important warning signs to consider for correct identification of a potentially unprofitable business include:
Saturated Markets
Avoid ventures where competition is excessively high, and profit margins are low.
Poor Location
Starting a business without considering foot traffic or accessibility is a recipe for failure.
Lack of Differentiation
Businesses that fail to offer something unique struggle to attract customers.
Dependence on Outdated Technology
Businesses reliant on obsolete technology or trends are likely to fail.
Economic Sensitivity
Luxury or non-essential services often suffer during tough economic times.
Conclusion: What to Avoid When Starting a Business in Kenya
The worst businesses to start in Kenya are those that lack innovation, face significant competition, or fail to meet consumer needs in a changing market.
To succeed, focus on identifying gaps in the market, offering unique value, and ensuring your business model is sustainable.
Thorough research, financial planning, and adaptability are critical to making any business venture a success.